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Originally Posted by dataway
Again ... the reason the Covid mortality rate seems high is because of the vast numbers of people that have/had it, that experience no, or few, symptoms .... so they are never counted in the "infected" base.
When they finally count the millions of people that had covid and never went to the hospital the mortality rate will plummet, right now, the only people being counted are the victims so sick they had to go to the hospital. For every one person that tested positive they estimate there are five infected that never sought testing or care.
The problem with comparing to past outbreaks is that in the case of past outbreaks they have had years to analyze the data and to estimate total infections and ratio that with known deaths. Since they haven't even tested 1% of the population at this point there is no real data to work with.
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Precisely. With a virus such as COVID-19, 1% isn’t even a good scientific study group. This is the problem with models; model results are subject to wildly different outcomes with simple adjustments to the data.