Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 04-11-2020, 12:12 AM
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Shiny Shiny is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hurryinhoosier62 View Post
The population of Lake Co., IN is 484,411. 2,653 residents of Lake Co., IN have been tested for CV-19; 576 have been positive. That means that .1% of the total population of Lake Co., IN has tested positive for CV-19. The current infection rate is 21.71%. That IS higher than the national average of 19.2-19.5%....
Not arguing proportions but the tests are not random so these high infection rates apply only to those tested. I don't know the current criteria but I suspect symptoms with perceived high risk are still required. I also think the criteria are not the same everywhere so comparisons may not be apples to apples.

The only "random" sampling I have heard of was conducted by a private company using an antibody test in San Miguel County (Telluride) Colorado.

Here is a web article describing the effort (6000 samples) and some results (on ~1000 to date). Not an unbiased scientific summary by any means but the data is interesting.

https://reason.com/2020/04/08/mass-a...and-lethality/

Until random sampling results are available, all the statistics and proportions seem open to interpretation and spin IMO.